Matt | December 23rd, 2011

Suarez: Misguided Assumptions

Many of you with any amount of interest in the wonderfully dramatic world of football will undoubtedly have been informed to some extent about the current Suarez racism case in which Luis Suarez, of Liverpool FC, has been convicted of racism by an ‘independent’ FA panel and been handed an 8 match ban alongside an insignificant £40000 fine.

I think it is quite reasonable to suggest that the entire case is a bit dubious with a seeming lack of any substantial evidence and opposing team rivalries causing the facts of the situation to become a bit muddled.

In this post I’m not going to pass judgement on whether Suarez is innocent or guilty as many publications and fans have tried, and failed, to do with any reliability. Instead I want to make a concerted attack on the media and opinion coverage of this event.

The main issue for me is that most people are trying to make judgements with little to no evidence to go on. In order to make up for the lack of evidence I’ve noticed alot of journalists creating assumed evidence in order to have a tangible opinion of Suarez’s guilt. On the extreme end of this I would like to point towards a featured article on the Telegraph online. This article, written by Paul Hayward, beings with the line ““Negro” — assuming that was the insult”. If Hayward is assuming guilt at the begining of the article from only assumed evidence and then drawing his own conclusions from this and passing them as truth then the article instantly loses most of it’s credibility.

The use of assumptions in this case is different to how assumptions are used in Economics in order to create models as these models create a generalised case for events that will recur in similar instances over time. For instance, the model of perfect competition in microeconomics can be used to judge the effects of price rises. Price rises recur over time and therefore a generalised case can be made of them. The event in question here is likely to never occur in a similar form again and thus it is short sighted to just apply a generalised case for racism to it.

If Suarez has said “Porque, Negrito?” as many have speculated then the conclusion that came from the FA trial doesn’t hold as it claims Suarez used offensive and abusive lanaguage alongside a reference to Patrice Evra’s race/skin colour. While ‘Negrito’, roughly translated as “small black man”, doe make a reference to Evra’s kin colour there is nothing inherently offensive about the sentence uttered. If; however, Suarez had uttered something more offensive or implied that being a “Negrito” was a bad thing then the drawn conclusion could have held.

The issue, again, is that there is no evidence available to public at the moment apart from the testimony of the two involved players which can provide the answer as to what Suarez said. Therefore any opinion, discussion and articles about the guilt or innocence of Suarez are seemingly pointless as the assumptions used arel ikely to be completely wrong changing everything about the conclusion.

I would liken this discussion to one person arguing:

“Assuming the sky is red, the sky must be red.”

and then another arguing:

“Well I disagree, assuming the sky is green the sky is definitely green.”

Neither of these arguments contributes to discerning the colour of the sky just as no amount of biased articles from either side of the Suarez argument really contributes to that situation.

 


Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

Luke Davis | June 30th, 2011

The woman who cannot be stopped: Maria Sharapova

 

The woman who cannot be stopped: Maria Sharapova

 

Sabine Lisicki, the unseeded German, saw a glimpse of hope at the start of her semi-final encounter with Sharapova. She won three straight games through a fantastic array of shots and serves, though this turned. The momentum of the russian tennis juggernaut overwhelmed the german. Lisicki was merely an awkward obstacle on Sharapova’s path to success.

 

Maria was number 1 in the world in 2005 (WTA) earn’t through her powerful, sharp and majestic tennis play. She is showing those same victorious symptoms of a champion; playing with purpose, focus and extreme physical prowess.

Her serve in the last 2 years has definitely improved, becoming evermore stronger and Maria is showing confidence in her serving action. This wasn’t the Sharapova we saw in the late season of 2007 and in the year 08 and early09 as she had a crippling shoulder injury which needed surgery. She left the top 100 for the first time in 6 years, seeding no.126.

After a tournament in Tokyo Sharapova reached no.14 seed, however she ended the season losing to Peng Shuai in the third round. This progression and recovery was shaky. Many who followed her in 2010 would confirm that. She played fantastic tennis at some tournaments and at others she seemed to have lost her own tennis style. At the end of 2010 she finished no.18 seed, though after losing to Serena Williams at Wimbledon in the summer said;

“in a much better spot than I was last year.” – Sharapova

2011 was really an optimistic push for Sharapova as she hired Thomas Hogstedt who joined Michael Joyce.

Hogstedt and Joyce opened a clinic in the past and have worked on the likes of Tommy Haas and Li Na, getting them both in the top 10 world rankings. This new and effective ingredient really improved Sharapova’s game and definitely formed her new focus on self improvement rather than just pure results. In academic terms… she was focusing on gaining understanding and precise knowledge of the world than just on getting exam results. Doing the former improves the latter.

Maria’s performance in grand slams was phenomenal compared to her shaky game in the previous seasons. She lost to Azarenka in the final of Miami who was then seeded 8. Her other best tournaments were Rome which she won with a fantastic performance… not even dropping a set. She reached the final of the French open, losing to Li Na in the final.

Sharapova didn’t just enter Wimbledon with a good enough game, she exploded on the scene. She swept through the rounds beating the likes of Laura Robson, Peng Shui (whom she lost to at the China open in her injury stages), Zakopalova, Cilbukova in the quarters and Lisicki in the semi final. Lisicki was playing her best tennis and showed great promise but it was her first semi final at Wimbledon and Sharapova’s experience and drive was too much for her to handle.

If I was certain about anyone winning a title at Wimbledon this year, I would put my money on Miss Sharapova.

Let’s hope her new sportsmen and partner Sasha Vujacic gives her that boost which she clearly doesn’t need but would give her an extra assurance when things get a little out of her control.

 

 

 


Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

Matt | June 15th, 2011

Don’t Build Andy Up

After Andy Murray’s emphatic triumph at Queens it is of no surprise that most of the British media has gone into “Murray mania” in the run-up to the worlds most coveted tennis title at Wimbledon. But it’s surprising that no-one has publicly acknowledged the feeling of dèja vu that tennis fans must be experiencing at the moment as the same thing happens every year. Murray is always in fantastic form heading into Wimbledon and then decides that the prestigious tournament is the perfect opportunity to have an annual “crash and burn” campaign in which he struggles through the early rounds until he meets one of the big guns like Nadal or Federer and then surrenders to them in more or less straight sets. Lets take a closer look at his Wimbledon record:

  • 2005 – Lost in five sets to Nalbandian in the Fourth Round
  • 2006 – Lost to Baghdatis in Straight sets in the Fourth Round
  • 2007 – No entry due to injury
  • 2008 – Lost in straight sets to Nadal in the Quarters
  • 2009 – Lost in four sets to Roddick in the Semis
  • 2010 – Lost in straight sets to Nadal in the Semis


  • It is noticeable that, bar the start of his professional career, Murray has exited in straight sets. For me this is further evidence of his poor mentality when it comes to bringing games back from the dead. When you watch players such as Nadal and Federer you always expect them to win regardless of how much they are losing by. They are renowned, especially Nadal for picking themselves back up after losing sets. When Murray starts to lose to an equal or superior player he invariably does because he resigns himself to losing. Lest we forget the French Open Semi Final only a couple of weeks ago where Murray, despite quite a valiant effort, was dismantled by Nadal (again in straight sets). After Murray lost the first set, and I even commented on this in my Liveblog, he never looked like winning or even getting a set back. This is the sort of thing that keeps him from winning championships. Players in the later stages of the competition are going to be on the top of their game and so when Murray’s facing them he is going to lose a set or two. He can’t just capitulate when this happens.

    So my plea is that the media don’t go through the same charade again of making Murray the favourite for tournament before a ball has been hit as this does nothing to ease the pressure on him and will almost certainly leave the British public disappointed. Yes, he played well at Queens, but it’s alright beating players like Roddick and Tsonga in that sort of environment where there is less to play for. When the real grand slam competitions start do you really think that Roddick will surrender as easily as he did in the Queens Semi Finals? Or that Nadal will have a bad day so that Tsonga can knock him out?

    If Murray wants to win Wimbledon then he will almost definitely need to face one or two of Nadal, Federer and Djokovic at some point in the competition. It does remain to be seen whether he can ever beat, or really even challenge, them in the Grand Slam environment.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    Matt | June 10th, 2011

    School Sports Are The Key

    In the run up to the London 2012 the British government has set about plugging grass roots sport as much as they possibly can. As with most recent schemes the money spent has been horribly misallocated and therefore I, as a member of various sports clubs and organisations, have not seen any noticeable benefit.

    I am of the opinion that the sports development should have been focused a lot more on school sports and not ridiculous school sports that seem to have crept in (ultimate frisbee I’m looking at you), it should be spent on main school sports clubs such as football, rugby and netball. We have a very poor sporting culture in this country whereby all except the top sportsmen are almost completely ignored by the general public. I’m willing to bet that the average number of spectators to a completely non-professional sporting event in Britain is less than ten and I’d be willing to accept that it is less than 5.

    This lack if support is unacceptable for a country that is, not only seeking to promote sport at the present, but also invented most international sports. Take American high schools as an example, a lot of these schools are so well funded that they have ready made stadiums and purpose built facilities for their teams. Plus they fill these facilities quite regularly. The sporting culture is a lot more prominent in the states, it is even acceptable to televise some high school sporting events such as basketball, a) because the standard is high enough due to quality coaching and b) people are much more interested in watching local kids and grassroots sportsmen play.

    If the government focused more on funding school sports and getting spectators to be interested in it rather than making schools maximum security health and safety zones then, after a while, the overall standard of sportsmen and women in this country would dramatically improve. This also manages to hit two birds with one stone as it would serve as an antidote to the country’s ever growing obesity problem. Our professional sports-people should be coming straight from our schools, they shouldn’t have to leave the state education system early in order pursue a career in sport. This way sports become a lot more accessible to everyone and we can ensure that our children are getting a wider education. Children who leave school to attend a sports academy are generally left disappointed as there are only a number of people who can become Premier League footballers or Olympic athletes and so a majority have to miss out. If these athletes had stayed in the school system then their education would be broader and they would have other qualifications in order to build a career.

    Schemes such as Sainsbury’s Active Kids promotion are doing a good job of keeping schools well equipped in terms of basic equipment but in a lot of schools the infrastructure isn’t there for it to be a success. Take for instance my local school where we have just had a huge drive for media studies. We have high tech, Apple Mac filled media suites and lecturing facilities which are really fancy and make the school look great. But only a few metres away we have dilapidated tennis courts with faded markings and rough tarmac. Just a bit further than that is our expanse of sports field which has to be used for multiple sports on literally the same pitch at the same time. There are no areas for spectators here, this is purely a private affair and so sports clubs have slowly died away up until the point where there are NO sports clubs that run for my age group. No training, no matches, no tournaments. So it’s not hard to guess how many potential professional athletes are graduating from my school this year because, as is the same in most state schools in Britain it is close to zero.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    Matt | June 3rd, 2011

    Nadal vs Murray – French Open Live Blog

    Check here for my thoughts during the match!

    15.35

    So he only needed one break point in the end. But Rafael Nadal is now on his way to the French open final and deservedly has brushed Andy Murray aside. The game was a huge grind with moments of brilliance but will not be remember to far past today especially in the case of Murray.

    15.34

    And now he serves with 3 match points.

    15.31

    Nadal serves for the third set…

    15.31

    Optimistic commentator returns by suggesting Murray is still very much in the match. I don’t know what game he’s watching but this match looks wrapped up to me.

    15.27

    Nadal now has chances to serve for the match. Murray deserves better than to lose in 3 straight sets but Nadal has been masterful.

    14.51

    The match seems to have cooled down now with Nadal quietly going about his business.

    14.36

    It’s ironic how, when Murray didn’t have a trainer, he was probably playing his best tennis.

    14.34

    Nadal takes the second set and Murray looks well beaten.

    14.33

    Nadal is efficiently killing off Murray now. Virtually game set and match.

    14.30

    Rafael Nadal again serving for the set.

    14.29

    Murray losing his head after outburst at his trainer. Nadal has all the power here after breaking Murray for the third time.

    14.24

    That one misplaced shot from Murray could have just lost him the game.

    14.19

    Some absolutely sensational drop shots being pulled off here with Nadal clinching a point he really didn’t deserve.

    14.15

    And now Murray manages to hold his serve. But will he be able to break Nadal for a third time in this set?

    14.11

    4 breaks in a row!? Nadal does not seem happy with the umpire despite no contentious decisions.

    14.06

    What is going on with Andy Murray? Nadal breaks him again out of nowhere. Murray is lacking the mental resilience to really compete in these matches,

    14.00

    Amazing rally there with cross court shots flying everywhere. Murray comes out on top.

    13.55

    If Nadal wins this set then its game over. If Murray wins the set then its game on.

    13.53

    Murray now with a chance to break back. Critical moment.

    13.48

    And there’s Nadal’s break. Murray needs something seriously special to stay in the game here.

    13.46

    Murry in huge danger of handing Nadal a break here. Needs to focus more than ever.

    13.44

    Murray gifts Nadal a leveller with a typical Andy unforced error.

    13.41

    Murray seems uncomfortable on his ankle. Not a good sign despite the ever optimistic commentator blaming it on the ankle tape.

    13.39

    On Twitter: @NickBollettieri

    #Murray ‘s strategy for the first set will have to change. He’s going to have to do some surprise attacks. #FrenchOpen #Tennis #RolandGarros

    13.37

    Despite winning Nadal seems very unhappy for some odd reason.

    13.37

    And shortly after that a wildly hit shot completely out of the court that the commentator blames on a bad bounce.

    13.36

    Oh, a very un-Nadal like shot there from Rafa. Hitting the net from close range.

    13.29

    Waiting for the signs of Murray losing his head here. Although he seems to have kept some of the momentum from the last set despite losing it.

    13.24

    From Twitter @tennistweetscom says

    murray’s unbeatable when he’s losing.

    Yes, makes perfect sense…

    13.21

    And Nadal takes the first set 6-4 despite Murray pushing him to the bitter end. Can Murray hold on now?

    13.19

    Some shaky deuces here, impossible to predict who will come out on top.

    13.15

    Murray has some brilliant momentum here. Can he take the set?

    13.13

    1 set point down, 1 to go

    13.09

    Just realised that Eurosport has adverts every 12 seconds. Back to BBC who have the Tennis on the red button behind horse racing….oh dear….

    13.07

    I would have called that out, but the invisible mark says no.

    13.07

    Ah, Eurosport HD, my saviour.

    13.06

    I’m disappointed the BBC isn’t showing this game in HD instead they choose to show the popular “This is BBC HD” promotional placeholder…

    13.03

    Wow! Murray breaks Nadal! There is still hope for this set yet! I’m eating my words.

    13.01

    Nadal doesn’t seem as comfortable serving left to right as he does serving right to left. Is that an effect of being left handed? Or is it a weakness?

    12.59

    Here’s Rafael Nadal serving for the set…

    12.58

    Murray is the first British French open semi finalist since Tim Henman. Tim managed to win a set in his game, can Andy match him?

    12.55

    Is it me or are 90% of the spectators just shown wearing the same hat? Conspiracy?

    12.54

    On Twitter: @stebax says
    I like Andy Murray. He’s a massive ball of anger, frustration, disappointment and thwarted dreams.

    Well said.

    12.52

    The unforced errors are finding their way into Murray’s game with a couple of lazy net shots.

    12.50

    So, Nadal has pretty much wrapped up this set unless Murray can produce something brilliant. Not to say that Murray hasn’t been playing well but Nadal is rampant today.

    12.48

    Perfect, as soon as I look away from the television for 1 second Murray loses his chance to break.

    Matt | June 1st, 2011

    The Olympic Ticket Moaners

    Well it seems that a great majority of the 2012 Olympic games tickets were allocated and paid for today. It also seems as though the obligatory moaners have come out in force when they checked their bank accounts and found out that no, they didn’t get their 100m finals tickets that they poured all their hopes and dreams into when opting for the £50 lower tier ticket. The fact remains that they knew exactly what they were signing up to and agreeing to when they entered into the ticket ballot. Out of the people that applied, some people will have been allocated tickets and if the number of applicants exceeds the number of tickets then some people will lose out.

    A quote in today’s newspaper taken from twitter read:

    “so no tickets for all my kids – not for the hockey, the fencing, the canoeing. Motto: lets disappoint the nation’s youth”

    I’m willing to bet big money that this disgruntled tweeter didn’t apply for some low key events like a reasonable person but instead went for the finals of these events. In which case, while they are unlucky to not get anything, if they had lowered their expectations then they may have walked away with tickets.

    Another quote that stood out was from Matt bath of popular information magazine “Which?”.

    “People didn’t enter into the purchase for the event with a clear idea of what their odds were, how many tickets were available for each venue and where indeed they would be sitting if successful.”

    My response to this is that some people should start using the large block of tissue that is contained in the cranial area of the body, yes, their brain. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to work out that the importance of a round (e.g. Semi finals, quarter finals etc) determines how many people are going to be applying for the tickets. People just need to be savvy and spread their risk. It also doesn’t take much to work out that the tiers of seating will determine viewing distance and area of the stadium. The lowest tiers of seating will get the worst lines of sight and will generally further away from the action.

    What this really boils down to is that people are being very sore losers to a game of chance. Nobody has been cheated out of anything and people who end up with nothing have either been very unlucky or incredible over optimistic. I have manage to clinch 1 of my 2 sets of tickets which to be perfectly honest is as much as I could have hoped for and I’m sure I’ll enjoy my lower heats of hockey very much despite missing out on the men’s 100m final.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    Matt | May 28th, 2011

    They never looked like losing

    After a glorious summer evening watching the events at Wembley stadium unfold I can say with utmost confidence and satisfaction that justice has been served. The best team in modern football has come out triumphant against the thugs and louts of Manchester.

    It would have been a travesty if a team who swears at watching audiences, abuses referees and sings about events of human travesty (Hillsborough disaster chants in the FA youth cup this season) were to win the top trophy in club football and be revered as the top team in Europe. Manchester United were built up before the final as tactical masters for their much publicised training routines in which they mimicked the top Barcelona players in a bid to learn how to stop them. Barcelona did not dabble in the same nonsense and came to London to play their game.

    Some will question why I was not supporting the English team in the final and my honest answer is that I’m embarrassed that they are representing England. Manchester United stand for all that is wrong in English football and this was shown, in earnest, when Wayne Rooney scored the equalising goal in the first half. For a man who had just scored a goal in the biggest game of his life it was surprising that not a single smile or sign of happiness appeared on his face. This, for me, says it all about the attitude of the current Man Utd team. Those scenes were in great contrast to when Messi scored Barcelona’s glorious second and you could see the emotions of the Catalan players.

    All in all, Saturday 28th May 2011 will be remembered as a great day for football.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    Matt | May 26th, 2011

    Do Football players justify their wages?

    There is a general furore over the amount of money that footballers are paid in the modern era. While there is a great range of wages, from about £10k to £200k for a first team player in the premier league these are still far higher than most other jobs outside of the financial industry. Many argue that health professionals and members of the armed forces should be given a higher wage than footballers as they contribute more to society and in some cases risk their lives daily to protect other people.

    However the fact remains that people in these roles belong to the public sector, funded by our own taxed income and therefore, to pay them up to £200k a week would be logistically impossible. How is it fair that someone earning an average wage of around £29k a year should fund such an exorbitant wage for members of the public service. In the case of medical professionals there is a part of their wage lost to the utility gained from them helping people as in the case of teachers. Their job is so mentally and socially rewarding that this is reflected by a slightly lower wage rate. Jobs in the armed forces are quite low skilled at the point of entry and only really require degree level knowledge in the higher positions. Hence there is a high demand for these jobs in the labour market from early school leavers and unskilled workers which drives down the wage rate.

    There is a lot of money in the football industry coming from it’s large commercial relationship with companies such as Bskyb, Nike and Adidas. These companies pour millions (in some cases billions) into football for the revenue that football tv licenses and sponsorship return. In terms of revenue per number of employees football is one of the leading industries in the world. Take the case of Manchester united’s commercial arm which employs 70 people and yet brings in hundreds of millions of pounds from commercial deals and sponsorship. This enables players like Wayne Rooney to earn £200k a week.

    It all comes down to the realisation that society values entertainment and sport higher than it’s own health and safety. People participate in activities such as bungee jumping and base jumping in their masses and thus risk their own health in the process. The high value of entertainment in society thereby justifies, in a convoluted way, a footballer’s wage packet.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    Matt | May 25th, 2011

    Crunch Time for Fifa

    The football governing body, Fifa, has come into disrepute a significant 3 times in the past 12 months. Firstly there was the sham that was the selection of the world cup hosts for 2018 and 2022 where, amid allegations of corruption and bribery, Russia and Qatar (the later of which has been doubted in it’s ability to even host the tournament due to its environment) came out on top. Secondly there were the Lord Triesman allegations in which the former FA chairman claimed that several of the Fifa committee members asked for bribes in return for votes in the bid to host the 2018 world cup. It was even alleged that one Executive committee member requested a knighthood in return for his vote.

    Finally now we have more disrepute coming from allegations from a committee member himself (Chuck Blazer) that two other members including Mohamed Bin Hammam, who is soon running for Fifa presidency, have been involved in bribery in some sort of fashion. Of course, we won’t know the full scale of the claims until a full Fifa investigation has been performed (and the obligatory super-injunction has expired).

    All these scandals bring in to question whether Fifa can legitimately continue with out a major reform or restructure. It seems the whole organisation is rotten from the core and needs new people and new ideas. The debate over goal line technology has hardly improved its image in progressive terms and only furthered the notion that the executives of the organisation are stuck in the past. What I would like to see is younger and more involved executives who have a deeper interest in the sport rather than the business that goes with it.It would also be preferable that fans and participants in grass roots sport have more of a say in who represents each “constituency” on the executive panel.

    These measures would help to keep corrupted stalwarts such as Jack Warner away from the sport as, to be honest, people like him bring nothing to the game. Warner is so deep rooted in the CONCAF region that the administration pays him rent for the offices that they operate out of and he has founded a football club in the region. He also boasts of large investments in Costa Rica and the US which were funded by salaries and allowances he receives from Fifa. This sort of expenditure doesn’t seem healthy in a region where grass roots football needs to be developed and promoted in order to improve the standard of the Caribbean leagues.

    This is a major fork in the road for Fifa. They can either keep on the way they are going and lead the sport into further disrepute or take the chance to revolutionise and bring the sport into the modern day.


    Facebook Twitter Stumbleupon Digg Email

    © MattJWaller